The Tragedy of Julius Caesar is a tragedy believed to have been written in 1599.

People with good analytical skills, and who can think flexibly, are better at predicting what enemy states will do next than top intelligence analysts:“So-called “superforecasters” from Tetlock’s Good Judgement Project — non-experts who are good at turning information into predictions and assessments of confidence — outperformed intelligence analysts with access to classified information.” ( by Jeffrey Lewis, Foreign Policy.com, 2016)It’s simple: if you can think outside your own knowledge graph, and follow good arguments, even if they don’t fit with a given plan you’ve been given, then you’re more likely to be able to entertain possibilities that are strange — but true.“I saw the most dangerous young men in the country walking down a corridor saying, “you can’t say that, that’s circular reasoning,” instead of punching each other or hitting the wall,” says Dr Roy van den Brink-Budgen, a former Education Manager at a UK prison and critical thinking expert.

I will also look into the work of one of his most negative critics, as well as some positive criticism, in an attempt to see the issues he raises from more than one perspective.